Sunday, May 18, 2025

Is Your Bank Technology Leader a CIO or CTO?

I recently attended a banking conference. Hartman Executive Advisors, a technology leadership and advisory firm designed to bring executive-level IT strategy to financial institutions, presented a session called From Strategy to Success: Unlocking Technology's Potential in Community Banking.

I attended because I recognize this as a challenge for financial institutions. A challenge because community financial institutions want a CIO or CTO who not only focuses internally by creating a stable IT infrastructure that works and protects the bank, but also looks to the bank's strategic plan to determine the solutions, interoperability, and ease of use to create a frictionless experience for internal and external customers. During the session the presenters mentioned the numerous steps it takes to change a bank customer's address. The multiple steps, however, were likely develped to reduce the incidents of fraud, i.e. to "protect the bank" and its customers. This is contrary to the dual mission of creating a frictionless and easy-to-use experience for internal and external users.

I'm not sure we know what we want from our CIO or CTO. 

CIO to CTO

First, let's distinguish between the roles. Consulting firm McKinsey says this about the difference: "Broadly speaking, a chief information officer focuses on internal technology, while a chief technology officer focuses on emerging technologies and product strategy." Based on my experience, we want both from that one seat on our management team, be it a CTO or CIO. We can't afford to have two people!


Bankers are notorious for focusing on the things they need to do. In my opinion the definition of "needs" should be expanded. But first and foremost, I will stipulate that the head of technology "needs" to be that internally focused person. The one that creates a stable, secure and functioning infrastructure. To be more the CIO than the CTO. As the bank grows, the role must grow with it.

Because "needs" is often described by bankers as what is "required" by our regulators. But "needs", as I see it, are what the bank needs to be relevant, even important to its customers and employees.

In my presentation at the conference, I discussed the important role component plans in the bank's strategy are to its success. These include the HR Plan, Capital Plan, Risk Appetite Statement, Marketing Plan, and yes, the IT Plan. When we ask for the bank's IT Plan, we typically get a list of IT projects that have only a loose connection to the bank's strategic plan.

This is indicative of a bank that has a CIO. One that is focused internally. One designed to succeed in their IT audits, either by internal/external audit firms or their bank examiners. These IT Plans include things like "upgrade to Windows 11" or "replace branch redundant communications in the Northern Region." Important projects for sure but bear little resemblance to the strategic priorities identified in their strategic plan. There is a disconnect.

As the role grows and evolves from CIO to CTO, these "business as usual" projects remain. Heck, nearly all projects have a technology component. But the person occupying the CIO to CTO role would have next-level management fully capable of participating, even leading these important projects designed to keep the bank running and keeping information safe and secure.

The CTO, however, would participate in the development and execution of the bank's strategic plan. If the plan calls for a funding strategy that includes multiple facets such as business deposit products that are in demand and technology-driven, or standing up a virtual branch to serve customer segments outside of the bank's geography. Introducing options on how the bank can execute on these strategic priorities and to play a key role in both leading and participating in the success of those projects.

As the presenters from Hartman pointed out, there are no IT projects, only business projects. 

Hiring leadership in technology has been challenging in banking. It's not exactly a high-octane career that top technologists think to join. I'm not sure why since banks were the first to employ technology. Digital general ledgers came around in the 60's and the ATM came around in the early 70's. But it is highly regulated and therefore lacks the sex appeal of other industries.

In Conclusion:

The ideal technology leader for your community bank is not a pure CIO or a pure CTO, but a hybrid – a strategic technologist with a strong operational foundation and a customer-centric vision. They are a guardian of the present and an architect of the future, capable of translating your strategic aspirations into tangible technological realities. The challenge lies in identifying and nurturing this unique blend of skills and potential within a single, indispensable leader. The characteristics outlined above provide a framework for that crucial search and development.

What are the characteristics of the person occupying this most important role at your financial institution?


~ Jeff


Monday, May 05, 2025

The Case for Product Management in Banking

During a recent discussion with a bank CEO and Chief Banking Officer, a fundamental question arose: Why can't we leverage technology to create a smarter business checking account? Instead of the traditional "Analysis Checking" model, which often erodes potential interest earnings through transaction fees, why not design an account that pays interest based on a technology-determined average balance exceeding a certain threshold?

Given that Dodd-Frank permits interest on business checking accounts, this approach seems logical and customer-friendly. For businesses with higher transaction volumes, the average balance required to earn interest would naturally adjust upwards. This is a concept that is both transparent for the customer and operationally straightforward for bank staff. The average balance calculation could even be reset annually or more frequently to reflect actual account activity. Stuck in our historical paradigm, we don't ask ourselves how to create an easier to understand, more efficient, more transparent, and yes, more profitable business checking account.

The primary objection I've encountered? The bank would lose the fee income generated by Analysis Checking. However, a careful analysis might reveal that the lost fee income would be minimal given that we would charge fees if the account was under its interest-bearing threshold. And likely more profitable. 

This conversation sparked another critical challenge: How do banks profitably manage large money market deposit portfolios in a rising interest rate environment?

Consider a scenario with $1 billion in money market deposits. When the Federal Reserve raises rates by 100 basis points, the response isn't uniform. Some depositors are highly price-sensitive and expect their rates to move in lockstep with the Fed or just below. Others are "price-interested," perhaps seeking a beta of 50%, while some simply value the FDIC insurance and branch access for their cash accumulation, exhibiting low price sensitivity.

The core problem is the lack of clarity: We don't know who's who. The current approach often involves waiting for customers to inquire about rate changes. However, with technological advancements and the ease of funds transfer, many customers simply moved their money during the recent Fed tightening without a word.

This situation points to several potential shortcomings:

  • Customers in the wrong accounts: Are some customers better suited for savings accounts than money market accounts?
  • Subpar onboarding: Are we failing to identify the customer's reasons for opening the account and their sensitivity to rate fluctuations?
  • Lack of sophisticated systems: Do we lack the tools to differentiate between price-sensitive, price-interested, and price-disinterested depositors?

The knee-jerk reaction might be to split the difference and proactively raise the money market rate by, say, 75 basis points. While seemingly fair, this could result in a significant $7.5 million reduction in net interest income.

I believe these challenges would be significantly mitigated by fostering a strong product management culture within the bank. This would involve establishing a dedicated head of product management and empowering up-and-coming middle managers with the responsibility for the continuous profit improvement of specific products.

Consider a retail money market product. Imagine assigning the VP or regional manager of the branch network as its product manager, directly accountable for its ongoing profitability. This individual could then actively manage various profit levers:










The product management committee meets quarterly to review trends in their products. They review the drivers to improve the profitability of the personal money market product. Some potential solutions from that meeting:

  • Pricing Strategies: Dynamically adjusting rates based on customer segmentation and market conditions.
  • Product Features: Introducing tiered interest rates based on balances or relationship status.
  • Customer Segmentation: Identifying and targeting specific customer groups with tailored offerings.
  • Communication & Marketing: Proactively informing customers of rate changes and highlighting product value.
  • Onboarding Process: Implementing robust KYC Q&A to understand customer needs and price sensitivity.
  • Process Improvements: To lower the amount of bank resources required to originate and maintain the account and lowering the OpEx per account.

Furthermore, the bank could consider developing new, differentiated money market products – perhaps something like "Money Market-Fort Knox" for price-insensitive customers and "Money Market-Wealth Builder" for those seeking competitive returns. This targeted approach would provide clearer insights into customer preferences and potentially prevent the significant outflow of deposits and decline in average balances experienced during the 2022-23 Fed tightening. Proactive engagement, rather than reactive adjustments based on customer complaints, would foster greater loyalty.

The fundamental hurdle, as I see it, is that many banks don't systematically measure the profitability of individual products. And even when they do, it's uncommon to assign dedicated product managers tasked with driving continuous profit improvement.

Should they? Absolutely.

While my firm offers outsourced product and organizational profitability services to banks, I firmly believe that all banks, particularly those with over $500 million in assets, should embrace this level of reporting, regardless of whether they partner with us. Consider this: a mere one basis point improvement in net interest margin at a $500 million bank translates to an additional $50,000 in net interest income. Scale that up if your financial institution is larger. The potential upside is substantial.

For further discussion on how a product management culture can benefit your institution, please contact Ben Crowley at bcrowley@kafafiangroup.com. 

Monday, April 07, 2025

Banks and Strategic Bets

Be a goldfish. Or a zebra.


In this latest Jeff4Banks.com video blog, I explore strategic bets, a term not embraced by bankers, likely because of the "bets" and the implication that it is gambling. So often we hear bankers object to making what could be franchise transforming "bets" because they are not goldfish. They take a failed bet some time ago in the past and use it as the reason to kill all future bets. Perhaps unlike a goldfish, I suggest using the bad taste of a failed bet as a learning experience to be better at the next one, rather than as a reason for stagnation.

What are your thoughts?








Monday, March 31, 2025

Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update-First Quarter 2025

- By Dorothy Jaworski

We made it through the long, cold winter.  There were days it was so cold I did not want to leave my house.  Even President Trump’s inauguration on January 20th was moved indoors to the Capitol Rotunda because of wintry temperatures.  We suffered through the cold but had very few snowstorms as they seemed plentiful south of Philadelphia and basically missed us.

The first quarter of 2025 was one of a lot of excitement- a glorious run to a Super Bowl win by the Eagles, a new President and his whirlwind actions, an AI surprise from China, on and off again tariffs, a boring Fed, DOGE and government spending cuts, imaginary inflation fears, and stock market drama.  On the horrible side, Los Angeles experienced its worst wildfires ever in January, which destroyed 16,300 buildings, including 13,000 homes, killed 29 people, and displaced 80,000 in the Pacific Palisades and Eaton fires.

Undoubtedly, the Eagles 40-22 win over the Chiefs in the Super Bowl was the highlight of the quarter.  The excitement built with every playoff game and the Eagles performed at a high level.  Acquiring Saquon Barkley changed this team.  Jalen Hurts, the O-line, and receivers AJ, Devonta, and Dallas outperformed, and we owe much respect to the defense!  An estimated 1.5 million fans turned out for the parade.  As Nick Sirianni said, “You can’t be great without the greatness of others.”  Now, all eyes turn to the Phillies.  A long, hot summer will determine if they can challenge the World Series LA Dodgers for MLB’s crown this fall.

Stocks and Bonds

It feels like we’ve been on a roller coaster when it comes to the markets this quarter.  We rallied for much of January until the 27th, when we received the DeepSeek AI announcement that a Chinese firm developed their own AI model for $6 million.  What?  Not billion?  It was chaos in the tech sector.  Nvidia and Broadcom, known for their AI chips, each fell -17% for the day, with market cap losses of -$587 billion and -$195 billion, respectively.  It’s estimated the whole AI market lost $1 trillion that day.  If China could develop technology so cheaply, why would our companies spend billions of dollars?  In a wild frenzy, millions of people downloaded DeepSeek AI.  They didn’t learn from TikTok?    Well, it wasn’t long before we discovered the truth; Microsoft reported that DeepSeek was copied from Open AI’s ChatGPT through improper use of an Open AI distillation tool.  The intellectual theft by China continues.  The markets soon recovered a lot of the losses.

Prices at the end of January seemed to hold up pretty well, but volatility and sell-offs took over in February and especially March.  In those two months, the DJIA fell -6.6%, the S&P 500 fell – 7.6%, and the Nasdaq fell -11.7%.  Gone are the new handles I wrote about last quarter: DJIA 45,000, S&P 6,000, and Nasdaq 20,000.  The media narrative turned to trashing tariffs and daily claims of recession and inflation that have rocked the markets.  I will discuss tariffs shortly.

Bonds rallied overall during the quarter with yields on the 2-year to 10-year Treasuries falling by -28 to -33 basis points.  Yields spiked in January, with the 10-year reaching 4.81%, before falling to around 4.25% now.  The yield curve briefly inverted again at the end of February (10-year minus 2-year) at – 8 bps but since has returned to positive at +34 bps.  The 10-year to 3-month spread is generally flat.  By the way, gold has rallied to new highs at $3,085 per ounce, up an astounding +42.6% in the past year, oil prices are at $69 per barrel, down -16.5% from last year, while AAA gas prices are at $3.16 per gallon, down -10.7% from last year.  Let the energy price declines begin.

 

Trump and Policies

Rarely have we seen a Presidency start off with so much action.  President Trump and his Cabinet have worked quickly to enact his policies and campaign promises on stopping illegal immigration, securing the border, and deportations, lowering income taxes for individuals and businesses, reducing prices, examining and cutting government spending and staff in every agency, with DOGE doing the analyses for the departments.  (To date, DOGE has identified $130 billion of savings and cuts, with a goal of many times this amount),  Other policies include enacting tariffs- both as a negotiating tool and to increase revenue to equalize the trading with other countries, using our massive oil and gas reserves to increase energy production, improving economic growth, and working to end the endless wars in Ukraine and Gaza.

So far, he has had success on the border and on the business side- securing almost $2.8 trillion of commitments from large US and foreign corporations to build and manufacture products here in the US over the next few years.  Oil and gas drilling is back and new leases are being sold once again.  Trump feels that lowering energy prices can have a cascading effect to lower prices of almost all goods.  Growing the economy, increasing private sector jobs, not government ones, and increasing real wages are top goals.

Tariffs and Taxes

The media also developed a recession narrative during the first quarter, even though few, if any, corporations mentioned recession during their first quarter earnings calls.  But suddenly it’s a big narrative.  The Fed played into this with their quarterly projections in March and lowered their GDP projections to +1.7% to +1.8% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, from above +2.0% in the prior projections in December.  Yet they are only lowering rates twice this year- the same as their last projection?  The Atlanta Fed GDP Now estimate for the first quarter was -2.8% as of March 28th, even though they admit the estimate is not incorporating foreign trades of gold properly.  Be careful what you wish for; recessions are often self-fulfilling prophecies.  It’s ridiculous. 

The tariff situation has been very volatile since Trump first started announcing them in February.  He used some as negotiating leverage, some to protect US industry (autos), and some to level the playing field with reciprocal tariffs to just make trade fair.  The media narrative is that tariffs are inflationary.  I disagree.  If spending occurs on products with higher tariffs with higher prices, then less spending will occur on other goods with lower or no tariffs and those other goods’ prices will fall.  Prices tend to adjust throughout the economy.  If high tariffs depress demand, those manufacturers likely will lower prices.  Of consumers’ purchases currently, about 15% is on imported goods.  The Fed and NBER both studied the effect of Trump’s first term tariffs and found no effect on inflation, which continued to run below the Fed’s target of 2.0% then.  Tariffs do not cause inflation; as Milton Friedman taught us, “inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.”  Even Chairman Powell knows this and called the effects of tariffs “transitory.”  (oh, no, not that word again!).  Despite knowing the results of studies on tariffs, he said he was “uncertain” of their impact.  Guests on Bloomberg guests on the day of the Powell press conference said “Why are we hanging on every word Powell says, when he keeps saying he doesn’t know?” 

Bur mark my words, once Congress passes the large tax bill making the Trump tax cuts of 2017 permanent, increasing the SALT deduction cap, lowering the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15%, putting in business deductions for accelerated depreciation, lowering individuals’ tax brackets, and including no tax on social security, tips, and overtime, the narrative about recession will quickly disappear. 

What About Other Indicators?

Here are some of my favorite indicators; watch them and you will know what’s happening:

-      Leading economic indicators, or LEI, continue to be weak.  February was -.3%, January was -.2%, and December was -.1%.  Of the past 33 months, only two were positive:  March, 2024 and November, 2024.  The Conference Board restated the index with benchmark revisions and it’s back above 100 (2016 levels) at 101.1 in February.  No surprise here.

-         Real GDP was +2.4% in 4Q24 with nominal GDP at +4.8%.  Real GDI was +4.5%; the average of GDP and GDI was +3.5%.  As mentioned earlier, the Atlanta Fed GDP Now 1Q projection number is -2.8%.  They publish it even though they state they are not including foreign trade in gold correctly.

-   M2 year-over-year growth in both February and January was +3.9% and December was +3.8%.  Friedman taught us that growth in the money supply should approximate nominal GDP growth, which is currently at +4.8%.  They are catching up and this is probably why they are cutting back on QT, their bond selling program.  After a period of decline in y-o-y M2 from December, 2022 to February, 2024, M2 growth has steadily ramped up.

-     Inflation.  Here’s the rundown.  It’s not so terrible.  PCE 4Q24 +2.4%, core PCE 4Q24 +2.6%, PCE February +2.5%. core PCE February +2.8%, CPI February +2.8%, PPI February +3.2%.  The Fed target of +2.0% is on headline PCE; CPI is +.5% higher with +2.5% as an implied target.  The 5-year Treasury Tips spread is 2.67%; the 10-year TIPS spread is 2.38%.  The final March survey of the University of Michigan showed the 5-year inflation expectation was +5.0%, but sorry, they are wrong.

-     Unemployment.  The BLS benchmark revision reduced -589,000 from reported jobs in 2024, not the original -818,000 projected last August.  The unemployment rate was 4.1% in February compared to 4.0% in January.  Unemployed persons are 7,052,000 and the pool of available workers is 12,945,000; both have been on the rise in recent months.

-        The Fed has been boring lately.  We know they are afraid to change rates, even though Powell says they are “meaningfully restrictive.”  The Fed is uncertain what tariffs will do, uncertain what inflation will be (their projections from March are outrageous- they do not hit the 2.0% PCE target until 2027!  What?!), uncertain what GDP will do (of course, they lowered it below +2.0%).  Powell kept saying they are “uncertain.” “it’s hard to tell,” “they just don’t know,” and “we’ll see what happens.”  Wow…where does that leave the rest of us?

I feel like I’ve gone on longer than usual this quarter, so I’ll wrap it up here.  I just got back from a wonderful week with great friends in Palm Beach County, Florida.  Sorry, we had no Trump sightings.  I’m looking forward to more traveling in the second half of this year.  Isn’t that what retirement is all about?  Stay tuned!

I appreciate your support!  Thanks for reading!  DLJ 03/28/25


Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis. Dorothy recently retired from Penn Community Bank where she worked since 2004. She is the author of Just Another Good Soldier, and Honoring Stephen Jaworski, which details the 11th Infantry Regiment's WWII crossing of the Moselle River where her uncle, Pfc. Stephen W. Jaworski, gave his last full measure of devotion.



Disclaimer: This publication is provided to you solely for educational and entertainment purposes.  The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is not represented to be complete and its accuracy is not guaranteed.  The expressed opinions, views, and estimates are those of the author as of this date and are subject to change without notice.  The author cannot provide investment advice but welcomes all of your comments.

Monday, March 03, 2025

Practical AI Use for Community Banks

Minnesota banker Andy Schornack posted the below memo on X that he was going to send to his staff. It was generated by X Grok AI tool and he had not edited or sent it yet. But I thought it so interesting and practical that I wanted to share it with my readers, with Andy's consent.

I edited minor things for clarity. 



Leveraging Microsoft Copilot for Growth and Excellence at Security Bank & Trust Company

Prepared by: [Your Name], CEO

Date: [Date]


Introduction: A Transformative Opportunity for Security Bank & Trust

"Since our founding in 1935, Security Bank & Trust Company has built a legacy of trust and personalized service across our 21 locations in Minnesota. Our recognition as the #3 community bank in the state by GOBankingRates in 2025 reflects our commitment to “Growing, Together” with the communities we serve. Yet, the banking industry is at a turning point. Customers increasingly demand seamless digital experiences—91% of U.S. consumers now consider digital banking capabilities essential (Latinia, 2024)—while operational pressures require us to do more with less. To stay ahead, we must blend our community roots with cutting-edge innovation.

Enter Microsoft Copilot: an AI-powered assistant integrated into Microsoft 365, the suite of tools our team already uses daily, including Teams, Outlook, Excel, and Power BI. Copilot isn’t just another tech add-on—it’s a game-changer that enhances efficiency, empowers staff, and elevates customer experiences without disrupting our workflows. In this essay, I’ll detail how Copilot can transform our bank, supported by data and examples. I’ll outline a clear implementation plan, highlight measurable benefits, and address potential concerns. My goal is to convince you to approve a pilot program that will cement our position as a leader in community banking.


What is Microsoft Copilot?

Microsoft Copilot is an AI tool embedded within Microsoft 365, designed to assist users by automating tasks, generating insights, and enhancing productivity (Microsoft Copilot). It leverages advanced language models to understand plain English, analyze data, and collaborate in real time across applications.

Key Features:

Natural Language Assistance: Staff can ask Copilot questions like “Summarize last quarter’s loan data” and get instant, accurate responses.

Data Analysis: It transforms raw numbers in Excel or Power BI into actionable insights, such as spotting trends in deposit growth.

Task Automation: Copilot drafts emails in Outlook, summarizes meetings in Teams, and generates reports in Word, cutting down repetitive work.

Collaboration Boost: During Teams meetings, it tracks discussions, assigns tasks, and pulls relevant data on demand.

For Security Bank & Trust, Copilot aligns perfectly with our strengths. It empowers our staff to deliver faster, more personalized service while preserving the human connection that defines us.


The Opportunity: Meeting Modern Challenges

We face two pressing realities:

Customer Expectations: A 2024 Forbes report shows 71% of banking customers prefer AI-driven support for speed and convenience (Forbes, 2024). Our clients want both digital ease and personal care.

Efficiency Demands: With 21 branches, we need streamlined operations to compete. McKinsey predicts AI could unlock $340 billion in banking value through automation (McKinsey, 2024).

Copilot tackles both by enhancing our digital capabilities and optimizing workflows, all within our existing Microsoft 365 ecosystem. It’s not about replacing people—it’s about amplifying what we do best.


How Copilot Transforms Security Bank & Trust

Here are four key use cases, grounded in data and examples:

Elevating Customer Experience Tailored Advice: A loan officer could use Copilot in Excel to analyze a customer’s financials and suggest loan options in minutes, enhancing our personal touch.

Faster Responses: In Teams, Copilot drafts replies to customer inquiries, ensuring quick, consistent service. WiFiTalents projects AI could boost engagement by 300% (WiFiTalents, 2024).

Example: Picture a farmer in McLeod County asking about equipment financing. Copilot could pull their transaction history and propose options during the call, delighting the customer.

Streamlining Operations Automation: Copilot can draft compliance reports in Word or summarize loan applications in Excel, saving hours weekly. Commonwealth Bank of Australia uses AI to process millions of documents daily (VKTR, 2024).

Branch Insights: Managers can use Copilot in Power BI to track performance across our 21 locations, like spotting a deposit surge in Scott County for a targeted campaign.

Impact: AI automation could save banks $1 trillion by 2030 (McKinsey, 2024).

Enhancing Risk Management & Fraud Detection: Copilot can flag suspicious transactions in Excel, enabling quick action. Barclays’ AI fraud system is a benchmark (Forbes, 2024).

Compliance: It drafts regulatory reports in Word, cutting costs that consume 6-10% of bank revenue (Latinia, 2024).

Example: During an audit, Copilot could compile all compliance emails from Outlook in minutes.

Driving Strategic Growth Decision Support: Copilot in Power BI can model scenarios, like how rate hikes affect our mortgage portfolio, aiding planning.

Meeting Efficiency: In Teams, it summarizes board discussions and pulls data instantly. AI could generate $779 billion in new banking revenue by 2030 (ZipDo, 2024).

Example: We could use Copilot to analyze small business lending trends and launch a new product in 2026.


Implementation Plan: A Smart Rollout

Here’s a three-phase plan to integrate Copilot effectively:


Phase 1: Pilot (Q2 2025) Test Copilot in two branches (e.g., Glencoe and Edina) for customer service and operations.

Train staff via Teams and SharePoint.

Cost: $150,000 for licenses, training, and setup.


Phase 2: Expansion (Q3-Q4 2025) Deploy Copilot across all 21 branches, integrating with our systems.

Use Power BI to monitor performance and refine use cases.


Phase 3: Innovation (2026) Explore advanced features, like predictive lending analytics.

Market ourselves as a tech-savvy community bank.


Budget: The $150,000 pilot investment will yield returns through efficiency gains within a year. Deloitte notes declining AI adoption costs, making this timely (Deloitte, 2024).


Why This Matters: Tangible Benefits

Customer Loyalty: Enhanced service drives retention. AI could triple engagement (WiFiTalents, 2024).

Cost Efficiency: Automation slashes operational expenses.

Market Leadership: Early adoption sets us apart as 91% of consumers prioritize digital tools (Latinia, 2024).

Community Good: Savings can fund local initiatives, echoing Northview Bank’s model (Northview Bank, 2024).


Addressing Concerns

Security: Copilot uses Microsoft 365’s robust protections, like Azure Active Directory (EY, 2024).

Staff Impact: It enhances roles, not replaces them, with training to ease adoption (Harvard Business Review, 2024).

Risk: A phased approach mitigates pitfalls—85% of AI projects fail without planning (American Banker, 2024).


Call to Action: Let’s Lead the Way

I urge the board to approve the $150,000 pilot and establish a task force from IT, operations, and customer service to oversee it. Copilot isn’t just a tool—it’s our path to blending tradition with innovation, ensuring Security Bank & Trust thrives for another 90 years. Let’s take this step together.

This essay delivers a compelling, Bezos-style narrative for adopting Microsoft Copilot, tailored to Security Bank & Trust Company’s needs and strengths. It’s ready to persuade the board—let me know if you’d like adjustments!"



So often, we attend conferences and leave with so much to explore and adopt that it is overwhelming, so we get stuck in place, not knowing where to start. I thought Andy's Grok-powered staff memo on adopting Copilot for the benefit of their customers, employees, and bank was a practical example of what readers could do at their bank.

Thank you for sharing Andy!


~ Jeff


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Beyond Altruism: Turning Financial Wellness into a Bank Profit Center

Discover how financial institutions can transform financial wellness from a cost center to a profit center. Learn strategies for implementing successful Financial Wellness Centers (FWCs).

Introduction

In an era where financial security is increasingly elusive, many banks tout 'financial literacy' as a core mission. But is it truly making a difference? The stark reality: 78% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck. It's time to move beyond well-intentioned programs and create a sustainable, profitable model for financial wellness. Let's explore how banks can build Financial Wellness Centers (FWCs) that not only empower customers but also drive significant revenue.


1. The Stark Reality: Financial Wellness in Crisis

  • The shift from defined benefit pensions has thrust individuals into a complex financial landscape, where many are struggling. Studies reveal alarming statistics: a majority of Americans are financially vulnerable, and retirement savings are inadequate. This isn't just a societal issue; it's an opportunity to differentiate your financial institution.
  • Fourteen percent of people who feel their banks help them with financial wellness.
  • Financial institutions have a responsibility to address this gap, but altruism alone is not a sustainable solution.

2. The Problem: Financial Literacy as a Cost Center

  • Currently, financial wellness initiatives often operate as cost centers, driven by compliance or community relations. This approach fails to align with the core business objectives of profitability and growth.
  • Anne Shutt's (Midwestern Securities) insights at a recent conference highlight the disconnect: customers aren't feeling supported by their banks' financial wellness efforts.
  • The current model serves some constituencies at the expense of others.

3. The Solution: Transforming Financial Wellness into a Profit Center 

  • Introducing the Financial Wellness Center (FWC): A New Model for Success.
    • Treat it like a branch: Dedicated personnel, clear objectives, and measurable results.
    • Staff with financial coaches and support staff, not just traditional bankers.
    • Integrate financial wellness into the customer onboarding process. Use the Know Your Customer process to also understand the customer's financial wellness. Offer a financial wellness opt in program.
    • Implement a small quarterly fee for the FWC program. (Consider waiving initially to build momentum.)
    • Bring current customers into the FWC using observable data, human judgement, and generative AI.
  • Revenue Streams and Profitability:
    • Account integration: Incorporate FWC client accounts into its revenue stream.
    • Fee-based services: Offer credit score monitoring, bill negotiation, and other value-added services.
    • Increased customer engagement: Higher engagement leads to increased account activity and profitability.
    • Address the low balance issue by recognizing that this is an investment in the customers' future, and that the FWC is a place for them to grow their financial health.
    • The FWC will have less overhead than a physical branch.

4. Measuring Success and Driving Growth

  • Key Performance Indicators (KPIs):
    • Pre-tax profit as a percentage of average deposits (e.g., 50 basis points).
    • Customer adoption of personal financial management tools.
    • Improvements in customer net worth and credit scores.
    • Customer graduation to wealth management services.
  • When customers reach the 'Accumulating Wealth' stage of their financial life, seamlessly transition them to your wealth management division. This creates a natural pipeline for high-value clients. Don't wait for high-value clients to grace your door, build them.

5. The Benefits: A Win-Win for Banks and Customers

  • Enhanced customer loyalty and retention.
  • Increased profitability and revenue diversification.
  • Strengthened community impact and brand reputation.
  • Empowered customers with improved financial well-being.

Call to Action:

Ready to transform your bank's approach to financial wellness? I would welcome a session with your team in how to implement a successful Financial Wellness Center and drive sustainable growth. Share this article with your colleagues and industry peers to spark a vital conversation.




Friday, February 21, 2025

Bottom-Up Capital Calculations

Ten years ago I wrote What's Your Well-Capitalized on these pages. It was in response to regulators persistently asking bankers the same question. Today, we have not done much about it because we have relied on that lazy space using the regulatory definition of well capitalized. Or at least regulatory expectation of it.

I recently spoke at the American Bankers' Association Conference for Community Bankers regarding risk appetite statements in a presentation called Leave Nothing Unspoken. Drop me your e-mail if you would like me to send the presentation. One slide, however, dealt with this very issue of "what's your well-capitalized." Because developing your risk guardrails for executing strategy, which is what a risk appetite statement should be, is far less effective if you don't build the culture and accountabilities throughout the organization to be consistent with your risk appetite.

Exhibit number 1 is a bank whose main incentive for lenders is volume. This creates the incentive to do deals based on size, regardless of structure, duration or rate. What does it matter if the lender does a thinly priced $4 million, 7-year commercial real estate deal with a 25-year amortization and lite covenants or a fairly priced, 5-year deal with standard covenants? If their goal is $20 million of annual production, they are 20% there regardless. Right? 

In comes risk adjusted return on capital, or RAROC. Most loan pricing tools use an ROE hurdle rate to determine what the rate should be. Aside from proper use of these tools and any manipulating that might go on to get deals done, the goal is a good one. Assign capital to a pending loan deal based on risk to the institution. Like the slide I showed to attendees at the ABA conference.


These capital allocation tables should be done in advance, be simple and understandable, and be transparent to all that use them. I imagine a small risk committee that develops these lookup tables and assigns capital to every balance sheet item. And for many categories, such as loans and investment securities, which carry the most risk to a financial institution, have necessary granularity so a 5-rated, 5-year and 20-year amortizing commercial real estate loan gets a lower capital allocation than a 6-rated, 7-year deal. Now the lender has to seek a better yield to get the same RAROC. And perhaps the ROE for the riskier deal is also higher. Further aligning risk versus reward.

Other major asset categories such as "Cash & Due", "buildings", and "BOLI" can be assigned capital at the balance sheet level, such as "buildings" receive a capital buffer of 1%. Naysayers might argue that a building is a 100% risk-weighted, and therefore needs to carry 10% capital (5% well capitalized under the Leverage Ratio, plus a 5% buffer). But that assumes, as prompt corrective action capital requirements must assume, that liabilities do not have risk.

Ask former Silicon Valley Bank executives if that is true.

For sure there is no 5% Leverage Ratio requirement for liabilities, but buffers should also be assigned to them based on the bank's perceived risk of those liabilities. Deposits and borrowings (i.e. the bank's funding) should create greater granularity based on product and product characteristics and the attendant risk of the instrument, much like loans and investments. 

Some may say that the above model is overly simplistic. I'm a simple man. And there is beauty in simplicity. No matter how complex a model you make, it will be some form of wrong as it stands the test of time. Being simply off is far better than building a highly complex black box to be as off, or even a little less off, than a simple one. Because users of the information will be less motivated to adhere to it if they don't understand how it was made.

This, in my opinion, should be done to identify what is your well capitalized. Because you have evaluated risk by balance sheet category and assigned capital based on risk. You can then determine if you have enough capital to support your current balance sheet and your strategically projected balance sheet. You know what buffer you have to withstand stress events.

If your strategic plan calls for a 15% ROE, now you can create a threshold by loan type for lenders to pursue and fairly price to be consistent with your strategy goal and risk appetite. Plus you would create the cultural discipline to manage risk from your first line of defense, the front line.


As I told attendees to my presentation, all banks should do this.


Do you?


~ Jeff